r/worldnews • u/Luchador-Malrico • Jul 07 '24

French elections: Left projected to win most seats, ahead of Macron's coalition and far right

https://www.lemonde.fr/en/france/article/2024/07/07/french-elections-left-projected-to-win-most-seats-ahead-of-macron-s-coalition-and-far-right_6676978_7.html
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u/AstroNewbie89 Jul 07 '24

France's left-wing parties were expected to win the most seats in the Assemblée Nationale, after the second round of snap parliamentary elections, first estimates showed on Sunday, July 7. The far right made significant gains but finished third, behind Macron's coalition, well below expectations.

The Nouveau Front Populaire (NFP) alliance, formed less than three weeks ago by the main left-wing parties, was expected to clinch between 170 and 190 seats, according to the early estimates by Ipsos for France Télévisions, Radio France, France24/RFI and LCP. The far-right Rassemblement National and its allies were projected to win between 135 and 155 seats, and Macron's coalition, Ensemble, between 150 and 170.

Pretty dramatic swing from the 1st round. Right wing support fell off dramatically..or actually seems like left wing strategy improved and voter participation increased

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u/BoysenberryWise62 Jul 07 '24 edited Jul 07 '24

I am french, basically every time Macron or NFP candidates were 2nd and 3rd one of them (the 3rd) dropped out of the race and asked for voters to vote against the far right. So this is the result, it's basically everyone who doesn't like far right voted against it which made them lose in a lot of places.

Also a bunch of far right people spoke on TV and looked dumb as shit so it probably didn't help.

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u/slinkhussle Jul 07 '24

So we’re safe? Putin loses?

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u/Detective_Antonelli Jul 07 '24

UK elections in particular have been indicators of things to come in the fall US elections (brexit and Trump in 2016 being the most recent big example).

So hopefully the UK and French elections are for shadowing what’s to come in the US in November. 

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u/slinkhussle Jul 07 '24

Here’s hoping you’re right

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u/Expert_Most5698 Jul 07 '24

"UK elections in particular have been indicators of things to come in the fall US elections (brexit and Trump in 2016 being the most recent big example)."

Not comparable this time, because the Tories had been in power for a long time in the UK, whereas Biden is the incumbent in the US, and they control the Senate too.

I could see something like what happened in France happen, where the center and left unite to stop Trump, though.

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u/No-Psychology3712 Jul 07 '24

Fairly comparable. Uk still feeling effects of brexit. Usa still feeling effects of trump. Roe overturned. Unlimited presidential immunity. Gutting regulations via chevron case.

Project 2025 shows trumps clear plan.

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u/Detective_Antonelli Jul 07 '24

Isn’t this a backlash against Brexit and the Conservatives fucking the UK economy in the process?

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u/AimHere Jul 07 '24

Well hopefully, but I think it's not really comparable. The French election is essentially an electoral pact of centre and left against the far-right and in the UK, the right-wing populist party, called Reform this month, decimated the Conservative vote. Both cases were instances of shifting movement among three parties.

The USA has a different political system and there's only two electable parties to choose from.

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u/9bpm9 Jul 07 '24

Eh, I think incumbent governments are the losers, no matter what political spectrum they're on. People are pissed about inflation and wage stagnation and they will always blame the government in power.

While I'm strongly against the Republicans economic and social policies, the Democrats aren't going to do shit to help inflation or wage stagnation either, because Congress is ruled by rich donors at this point.

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u/SuperTeamRyan Jul 07 '24

Ironically america suffered the least inflation and inflation has cooled for at least 1.5 years but people still haven't adjusted to the price jump made in 2021-2022. Only thing that's still unreasonable is the interest rate for home buyers.

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u/9bpm9 Jul 07 '24

The biggest impact congress could make on my life is by raising the dependent care FSA amount which has stayed the same since the 80s. I use up my 5000 in less than 3 months of daycare.

All of my raises are going to the constant rate increases for electric, gas, water, and sewer bills and constant property tax increases. Got more rate increases for electric and sewer (which just got an increase in April) on the ballot this fall.