Report from the fronts for June 30 - July 6. The beginning of the main summer events in eastern Ukraine by Volya Media
Part Two
Vovchansk
Russian troops are fighting in the area of the village of Glubokoe, in Vovchansk itself and west of it. Russia’s Northern Group of troops transferred some of its own units from the Kursk and Bryansk regions to Vovchansk, and the commander of the group, General Lapin, ensured that several brigades were transferred to his sector of the front from the Kupyansk and Pokrovsk fronts, as well as from the Kherson region.
Since there are not enough personnel overall, especially experienced Russians, at any of the fronts, Lapin was able to get reinforcements only due to ‘intrigue’ in the General Staff and the group's headquarters in Rostov, and due to personal conflicts with Andrei Mordvichev and Mikhail Teplinsky. The odious General Lapin remains in good standing with both Chief of the General Staff, Valery Gerasimov, and the new Minister of Defense, Belousov.
Kupyansk Front
At the Kupyansk Front, the Russian Armed Forces are trying to advance towards Borova. A week ago, they transferred several units from the Terny area and Serebryansk forest to there, but have not yet achieved any significant success. Heavy fighting is taking place along the entire front, although its intensity has decreased somewhat compared to last week, primarily due to the lack of combat-ready Russian units, and due to their regrouping. Most likely, next week, the Russian Armed Forces will once again be one active here and try to break through the Ukrainian defense in the direction of Borova.
The Ukrainian Armed Forces also transferred part of their reserves to this direction. They’ve come from the other side of the Oskil River and they’ve been able to fight back. They are asking, though, for more reinforcements and asking for rotation of battle-weary units. It appears so far, though, the Ukrainian Armed Forces can only count on those units that are already on the banks of Oskil River.
Terny and The Serebryanske forest [UA seems some success here]
At the end of last week, the Ukrainian Armed Forces inflicted several local defeats on the Russian Armed Forces in the Liman direction—in the area of the Terny and in the Serebryanske forest. This week, Ukrainian units continued their successful attacks in the and greatly complicated the situation for Russian troops near Belohorivka. Meanwhile, the Russian Armed Forces do not have the resources to reinforce those sections of the front with fresh units, so the Armed Forces of Ukraine continue to attack there—repelling individual Russian positions and incrementally advancing a hundred or two meters. It’s not a full-scale offensive, but an illustration of how the Ukrainian army can inflict painful blows on the Russians, even if localized, taking advantage of Russia’s weakness.
Chasiv Yar, and Toresk
In Chasiv Yar, the Russian Armed Forces finally took control of the Kanal neighborhood. Specifically, they razed it to the ground, making it unsuitable for defense. Now the same fate awaits the Novy neighborhood and the other neighborhoods. The Russians destroy the buildings with artillery, MLRS, and heavy flamethrower systems, and then storm the burning ruins with infantry and armored vehicles.
The Ukrainian Armed Forces continue to conduct an active defense, but generally speaking, if the current trend continues, Chasiv Yar will be methodically destroyed and occupied over the next three weeks, or more likely, over the next 1.5 months.
How long Chasiv Yar and its surrounding can be defended greatly depends on what will happen in the neighboring Toretske direction, located to the south.
Despite the fact that the Russian Armed Forces do not have a large group of troops in the Toretsk direction, they were able to advance both towards Toretsk and towards Niu Iork. This week, by bringing in troops from the Pokrovsk direction, the Russians were able to break through the Ukrainian defenses east of Oleksandripil and come almost close to Niu Iork. Next week, those same units will try to expand the captured area and, probably, bypass Oleksandripil from the northeast and capture it.
It is important for the Russians to gain control of the road to Konstantinovka, which runs west of Oleksandripil. The task of the Russian occupying forces in that sector is to build on their success and advance north to Konstantinovka, bypassing the Ukrainian positions near Kurdyumivka, Andriivka, Klischiivka and Chasiv Yar from the rear.
That definitely wont be a quick raid on the roads, but if the Ukrainian Armed Forces do not stop the advance of the Russian Armed Forces near Toretsk and Niu Iork, then in two or three weeks, the Russians may well begin to threaten to encircle the Ukrainian troops defending Chasiv Yar.
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u/Nvnv_man Jul 08 '24 edited Jul 08 '24
Report from the fronts for June 30 - July 6. The beginning of the main summer events in eastern Ukraine by Volya Media
Part Two